Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000976 1.111035e-03 0.001247 0.001395 0.001551 0.001709 0.001882
2025-04-20 0.000694 8.937389e-04 0.001107 0.001347 0.001609 0.001883 0.002191
2025-04-27 0.000472 7.126096e-04 0.000985 0.001307 0.001670 0.002061 0.002508
2025-05-04 0.000340 6.137231e-04 0.000943 0.001349 0.001819 0.002336 0.002938
2025-05-11 0.000223 5.103608e-04 0.000884 0.001363 0.001934 0.002575 0.003331
2025-05-18 0.000100 3.631444e-04 0.000749 0.001274 0.001923 0.002666 0.003559
2025-05-25 0.000034 2.650870e-04 0.000661 0.001232 0.001960 0.002810 0.003844
2025-06-01 0.000003 1.881541e-04 0.000587 0.001199 0.002002 0.002956 0.004130
2025-06-08 NaN 1.367050e-04 0.000539 0.001194 0.002076 0.003139 0.004457
2025-06-15 NaN 1.111181e-04 0.000529 0.001239 0.002212 0.003394 0.004869
2025-06-22 NaN 7.612745e-05 0.000490 0.001238 0.002285 0.003572 0.005188
2025-06-29 NaN 4.952968e-05 0.000457 0.001241 0.002361 0.003752 0.005509
2025-07-06 NaN 2.696510e-05 0.000424 0.001247 0.002450 0.003959 0.005877
2025-07-13 NaN 7.477332e-06 0.000373 0.001222 0.002496 0.004115 0.006188
2025-07-20 NaN 2.990886e-09 0.000327 0.001198 0.002543 0.004273 0.006503
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000324 0.001249 0.002695 0.004564 0.006979
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000305 0.001269 0.002804 0.004801 0.007392
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000238 0.001189 0.002765 0.004847 0.007572
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000198 0.001152 0.002785 0.004968 0.007841
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000164 0.001122 0.002813 0.005096 0.008119
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000144 0.001120 0.002880 0.005276 0.008458
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000144 0.001165 0.003020 0.005551 0.008915
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000127 0.001165 0.003089 0.005731 0.009254